2011海上风电报告
《2011中国海上风电市场报告》:本报告详细明确的阐述了目前中国海上风电市场发展现状和市场发展趋势,涉及主要相关产品即海上风电整机和风电传输产品的市场容量、海上风电产业政策及影响,整个产业链现状,并对2011年和今后几年的发展进行了趋势预测。
2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
......................................................................................................
1
2.
THE CHINESE WIND POWER
MARKET.............................................................................6
2.1. The history of wind power development
in China ......................................................... 6
2.2.
China's plans for medium-term wind power
development............................................. 8
2.3. Grid connectivity problems create a
bottleneck .......................................................... 10
2.4. Current shift toward offshore markets
from onshore ................................................... 11
2.5.
China plans offshore wind power
development .......................................................... 12
3. GOVERNMENT
AND INDUSTRIAL
POLICY..................................................................... 13
3.1.
China’s renewable energy law
....................................................................................
14
3.2. Impact of the Medium- and Long-Term
Development Plan for renewable energy in
China 14
3.3. Feed-in-tariff
regulation...............................................................................................
16
3.4. Impact of the “Interim measures for
the management of the development and
construction of offshore wind
power”..................................................................................
17
3.5. Government funding of research and
development programs for offshore wind power..
.........................................................................
19
4.
DEFINING OFFSHORE WIND
POWER.............................................................................21
5.
CURRENT STATUS OF THE OFFSHORE WIND POWER
MARKET...............................22
5.1. The Chinese government’s wind power
development strategy ................................... 22
5.2. China’s offshore wind power planning
and development strategy .............................. 24
5.3. The Shanghai Donghai Bridge 100 MW
offshore wind power demonstration project . 25
5.4.
First round of bidding for offshore wind
power concessons ........................................ 27
6.
AMBITIOUS PROVINCIAL OFFSHORE WIND POWER
PLANS......................................29
6.1. Medium-Term plans for provincial
offshore wind power development ........................ 29
6.2. Jiangsu Provinces –China's biggest
offshore wind power market............................... 31
6.3. Shandong Province –set to become
china's second largest market by 2020 ............. 34
6.4.
Shanghai Municipality –clear and concrete
plans for offshore wind power development
............................................................. 36
6.5.
Zhejiang Provinces - Limited onshore wind
power resources; greater potential for
developing
offshore wind
power..............................................................................................
37
6.6. Fujian Province-the market will be
developed in large scale after 2020...................... 39
7. CHINA
OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET FORECAST 2011-2015............................41
7.1. Projects are under constructions
................................................................................
42
7.2. Forecast for offshore wind power
installed capacity.................................................... 44
7.3.
Other projects planned from each province
................................................................ 47
7.4. Offshore wind power market CAPEX and
turbine market forecast ............................. 49
7.5. Offshore wind power transmission
equipment marekt ................................................ 53
7.6. Defining the offshore substation
market...................................................................... 54
7.7. Analysis of cost structure for
offshore wind power projects ........................................ 54
8. THE
OFFSHORE WIND PWEOR VALUE CHAIN
............................................................. 58
8.1. State ownned power developer lead the
wind power market ...................................... 58
8.2. Typical organizational structure of a
large state-owned power company .................... 62
8.3. Bidding for concessions and
demonstration projects .................................................. 64
8.4. China's offshore wind turbine
market..........................................................................
65
8.5. China hydropower dominates offshore
market, opportunities for others .................. 69
8.6. Engineering companies operating in
the offshore market ........................................... 71
8.7.
Domestic manufacturers and local
companies reap the rewards of the Donghai Bridge
project
.......................................................................................................
72
2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Feed-in tariffs in different regions
........................................................................... 16
Table 2: China’s key offshore R&D
programs.......................................................................
20
Table 3: Jiangsu province’s offshore wind power planning
projects ..................................... 33
Table 4: List of wind turbines used in the Rudong 30 MW
intertidal pilot project.................. 43
Table 5: Other demonstration projects in Jiangsu Province
................................................. 43
Table 6:List of projects that were
ready for bidding by late 2010 ....................................... 45
Table 7: Offshore wind power projects slated for the second
stage of bidding..................... 48
Table 8: Estimated cost of electricity per kW for CAPEX and
wind turbine markets, RMB... 49
Table 9: Denmark’s HornsRev Offshore Wind Power Farm Cost
Analysis........................... 55
Table 10: Power developer’s Initial marketing activities in
local market -Jiangsu................. 61
Table 11: Market penetration by developer for key wind
turbine suppliers ........................... 67
Table 12: Companies that will supply offshore wind turbines
to the Chinese market ........... 68
Table 13: List of companies involved in offshore wind power
engineering ........................... 72
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:China wind power
installation capacity statistics, 2009
................................................ 8
Figure 3: China wind power development
history........................................................................
10
Figure 4:The five stages of the
project development process...................................................
19
Figure 5: Definitions of onshore and offshore wind power
sources ............................................. 21
Figure 6: China's seven centrally-planned wind power bases
with installed capacity of more than
10 GW:
..............................................................................................................................
23
Figure 7: Phases of development in the Chinese offshore wind
power market ........................... 25
Figure 8: Bidding prices for the first batch of concessions
.......................................................... 27
Figure 9: Results of the first round of concession
bidding........................................................... 28
Figure 10: China’s initial offshore wind power development
plan by 2020 .................................. 29
Figure 11: China's provincial offshore wind power plan:
accumulated installed capacity by 2015
.............................................................................................................................................
30
Figure 12: Jiangsu province's wind power development plan and
cumulative installed capacity 31
Figure 13: Planned locations of offshore wind farms in
Jiangsu province ................................... 32
2010 CHINA OFFSHORE WIND POWER MARKET REPORT
Figure 14: Shandong province's wind power development plan
and cumulative installed capacity
.............................................................................................................................................
35
Figure 15: Shanghai's wind power development plan and
cumulative installed capacity ............ 36
Figure 16: Zhejiang province's wind power development plan
and cumulative installed capacity38
Figure 17: Fujian province's wind power development plan and
cumulative installed capacity... 40
Figure 18: Forecast for offshore wind power installed
capacity in China 2010-2020................... 44
Figure 19: The schematic diagram of the offshore wind project
schedule................................... 51
Figure 20: Offshore wind power CAPEX and wind turbine market
forecast for 2010-2015 ......... 52
Figure 21: Offshore wind power transmission market definition
.................................................. 54
Figure 22: Schematic diagram showing cost analysis of
offshore substation systems................ 56
Figure 23: Forecast for the offshore substation order market
2010-2015 ................................... 57
Figure 24: Newly installed capacity by developer in 2009
........................................................... 59
Figure 25: Benchmarked "Green Quota" status of China's top
five state-owned developers ...... 60
Figure 26:Organizational structure of
Datang Group ................................................................ 63
Figure 27: Typical organizational structure of a "Big Five"
power developer............................... 64
Figure 28: Share of the domestic wind turbine market, in
terms of annual newly installed capacity,
2009.....................................................................................................................................
66
Figure 29: Organizational structure of China Hydropower
Engineering Group Co. (CHECC)..... 70
Figure 30: Supply chain for the Donghai Bridge project
.............................................................. 73
LIST OF APPENDICES
Appendix: A
Interim measures for the management of the developemnt and construction
of offshore wind
power..........................................................................................................75
Green Industry Market Research Company Ltd.
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